Immigration Legislation or Executive Action Will Shape Latino Vote

"Last summer, in the wake of the US Senate’s passage of S. 744, the “Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act,” Latino Decisions, in concert with America’s Voice, identified three tiers of Democratically and Republican held competitive House districts where Latino voters are sufficiently concentrated to be influential in 2014.  Our analysis suggests that there are enough competitive districts presently held by both parties where Latino voters, and by extension, the politics of immigration reform, could determine the outcome and potentially majority control of the House.

This analysis was then followed by a survey of Latino voters – including sub-samples of respondents with a history of voting in midterm elections and those whose participation to date has been limited to presidential elections (“Presidential Surge Voters”) – residing in the 24 tier one and tier two Republican held districts assessing the degree to which immigration reform would affect their decision to vote in 2014 and for which party.  Some of the survey highlights...." - David F. Damore, Thomas Schaller, Apr. 21, 2014.