With Republicans emerging from last year’s election in control of the U.S. House, the U.S. Senate and the White House, and congressional redistricting approaching in 2020, Democrats are planning to mount a major effort in state legislative races in 2018. The charge will be led by the National Democratic Redistricting Committee (NDRC), chaired by Eric Holder, attorney general under President Obama, and supported by the former president himself.
“There’s a great focus now in the Democratic Party, and in the progressive community more broadly, that getting back to power in Washington, D.C., requires gaining ground in the states,” said Greg Speed, a board member of the NDRC, as well as president of the America Votes Action Fund.
There’s plenty of ground in the states for Democrats to gain. They now control only 30 state legislative chambers, less than half the number controlled by Republicans, 66, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures.
But the election appears to have been a wake-up call for some Democrats.
“Immediately after the election...[people] were turning to us and saying, ‘What can we do?’” said Carolyn Fiddler, spokeswoman for the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, which supports Democrats in state legislative races nationwide. “It seems to have hit a lot of folks organically really quickly.”
Fiddler also said donors can get more bang for their buck in state races.
“It takes a lot less to win a couple of targeted state House races in Michigan than it does to win a U.S. House race,” she said.
But the Democrats also face some big challenges, including donor fatigue.
“I know I have some, as much as I’ve spent and raised to see it go down the tubes,” said Bruce Thompson, a Democratic lobbyist and fundraiser in North Carolina.
Opposition to Trump could also make some Democrats reluctant to shift their attention away from Washington. And in some states, like Ohio and Pennsylvania, where Republicans led the redistricting process after the 2010 Census, legislative districts favor that party’s candidates.
Matthew Walter, president of the Republican State Leadership Committee, said this isn’t the first time he’s heard Democrats talk about focusing on state races.
“Every cycle, for the past several cycles, Democrats have talked about how this is the cycle when it’s going to change, this is the year they’re going to make gains at the state level,” he said. “Until they recognize that their policy positions are not in line with voters of this country, and until they start running candidates that are respected by the voters of their district, they run the very real risk of continuing to fall from the already...historically low level they’re at.” (ROLL CALL, LEXISNEXIS STATE NET)