The city/county/state is doing a major rebuild of the streets leading to the Interstate exit closest to my house in Seattle.
My office is in my home, and when I travel I take another road to the airport, so I get to see the road construction once every week or two.
You'd think that at one- or two-week intervals, progress would be noticeable. As far as I can see, they leveled some buildings six months ago, pushed the dirt and rubble around, closed off some side streets, and...
...and I'm not sure what else.
Am I wrong to judge this project by visible progress?
You bet I'm wrong!
Observers and even sometimes project participants make this mistake repeatedly. They judge progress according to what is visible to them, rather than on how the project is doing against its timeline and objectives.
Imagine you're a relief pitcher, and the starter is cruising along. (Yep, baseball season is creeping up on us.) From your perspective, there's no progress. You're not warming up, and you don't even know if you'll get into the game; you're a spectator. Should you be frustrated? Of course not; if the starting pitcher is having a great day, your team will probably win. The project is making great progress toward its objectives, putting another tick in the Win column.
It's easy to mistake visible progress for total progress. However, the visible aspects may be only one axis along which progress should be measured. Think of the following rough grouping of phases for building a house:
Read more on the Lexician Blog.